Technical trading at the currency market increases the overshooting effect

Technical trading at the currency market increases the overshooting effect

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Article ID: iaor2006166
Country: Finland
Volume: 16
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 72
End Page Number: 80
Publication Date: Jan 2003
Journal: Finnish Economic Papers
Authors:
Keywords: finance & banking
Abstract:

It is shown in this letter that the magnitude of exchange rate overshooting is larger than in Dornbusch (1976) when chartists are introduced into the model. Specifically, the extent of overshooting depends inversely on the planning horizon. The latter follows from explicitly modelling the behavior of practitioners: for shorter planning horizons, more weight is placed on technical analysis, while more weight is placed on fundamental analysis for longer planning horizons.

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