Article ID: | iaor20052788 |
Country: | United States |
Volume: | 1 |
Issue: | 3 |
Publication Date: | May 2001 |
Journal: | INFORMS Transactions on Education |
Authors: | Rump Christopher M. |
Keywords: | game theory, education in OR |
Inspired by the popular television show ‘Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?’, this case discusses the monetary decisions contestants face on a game consisting of 15 increasingly difficult multiple choice questions. Since the game continues as long as a contestant answers correctly, this case, at its core, is one of sequential decision analysis, amenable to analysis via stochastic dynamic programming. The case is also suitable for a course dealing with single decision analysis, allowing for discussion of utility theory and Bayesian probability revision. In developing a story line for the case, the author has sprinkled in much background material on probability and statistics. This material is placed in a historical context, illuminating some of the influential scholars involved in the development of these subjects as well as the birth of operations research and the management sciences.