Article ID: | iaor20051443 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 55 |
Issue: | 5 |
Start Page Number: | 535 |
End Page Number: | 541 |
Publication Date: | May 2004 |
Journal: | Journal of the Operational Research Society |
Authors: | Cheng R.C.H., Anjos M.F., Currie C.S.M. |
Keywords: | simulation: applications |
The paper describes a methodology that has been implemented in a major British airline to find the optimal price to charge for airline tickets under one-way pricing. An analytical model has been developed to describe the buying behaviour of customers for flights over the selling period. Using this model and a standard analytical method for constrained optimization, we can find an expression for the optimal price structure for a flight. The expected number of bookings made on each day of the selling period and in each fare class given these prices can then be easily calculated. A simulation model is used to find the confidence ranges on the numbers of bookings and these ranges can be used to regulate the sale of tickets. A procedure to update the price structure based on the remaining capacity has also been developed.