Article ID: | iaor2005155 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 42 |
Issue: | 9 |
Start Page Number: | 1715 |
End Page Number: | 1725 |
Publication Date: | Jan 2004 |
Journal: | International Journal of Production Research |
Authors: | Demeulemeester E., Herroelen W., Boute R. |
Keywords: | real options |
When scheduling an uncertain project, project management can wait for additional (future) information to serve as the basis for rescheduling the project. This flexibility enhances the project's value by improving its upside potential while limiting downside losses relative to the initial expectations. Using traditional techniques such as net present value or decision tree analysis can often lead to misleading results. Instead, a real options analysis should be preferred. The potentials of a real options approach to project management are discussed with an example and future research directions are highlighted.