Time-series prediction using adaptive neuro-fuzzy networks

Time-series prediction using adaptive neuro-fuzzy networks

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Article ID: iaor20043422
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 35
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 273
End Page Number: 286
Publication Date: Apr 2004
Journal: International Journal of Systems Science
Authors:
Keywords: neural networks
Abstract:

In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Network (ANFN) to deal with forecasting problems. The ANFN model is inherently a modified Takagi–Sugeno–Kang-type fuzzy-rule-based model possessing a neural network's learning ability. We propose a hybrid learning algorithm which combines the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and the Least-Squares Estimate (LSE) method to construct the ANFN model. The GA is used to tune membership functions at the precondition part of fuzzy rules, while the LSE method is used to tune parameters at the consequent part of fuzzy rules. Simulations demonstrate that the proposed ANFN model has a good predictive capability.

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