A sequential method for the development of visual interactive meta-simulation models using neural networks

A sequential method for the development of visual interactive meta-simulation models using neural networks

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Article ID: iaor20012066
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 51
Issue: 6
Start Page Number: 712
End Page Number: 719
Publication Date: Jun 2000
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors:
Keywords: neural networks
Abstract:

This paper proposes a practical and efficient method for the development of visual interactive meta-simulation models using neural networks. The method first uses a randomised simulation experimental design to obtain a set of results from a previously validated simulation model. The bootstrap technique is used on these results to generate a series of neural network models that are then trained using back propagation. The visual interactive meta-simulation model consists of the collective response from the trained neural network models. The accuracy of the meta-simulation model is assessed using the bootstrap technique and improved accuracy obtained by increasing the size of the randomized simulation experimental design set and re-training. This paper describes the approach, gives results for five example problems and suggests that the method is a practical extension to visual interactive simulation.

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