The expected time until absorption when absorption is not certain

The expected time until absorption when absorption is not certain

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Article ID: iaor20002332
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 35
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 812
End Page Number: 823
Publication Date: Dec 1998
Journal: Journal of Applied Probability
Authors:
Abstract:

This paper considers continuous-time Markov chains whose state space consists of an irreducible class, 𝒞, and an absorbing state which is accessible from 𝒞. The purpose is to provide a way to determine the expected time to absorption conditional on such time being finite, in the case where absorption occurs with probability less than 1. The results are illustrated by applications to the general birth and death process and the linear birth, death and catastrophe process.

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