Airline failure and distress prediction: A comparison of quantitative and qualitative models

Airline failure and distress prediction: A comparison of quantitative and qualitative models

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Article ID: iaor20001621
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 35E
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 155
End Page Number: 182
Publication Date: Sep 1999
Journal: Transportation Research. Part E, Logistics and Transportation Review
Authors:
Keywords: financial
Abstract:

In this paper, an exploratory study of failure and distress prediction models is presented based on a qualitative survey among new-entrant airline managers and a quantitative data source containing financial and traffic data of new-entrant airlines. Using logistic regression, it became evident that qualitative variables are a viable source for model construction. They contribute to a deeper understanding of the underlying distress and failure process. A number of significant predictor variables are discussed in the context of managing new-entrant airlines.

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