Article ID: | iaor20001244 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 17 |
Issue: | 5/6 |
Start Page Number: | 369 |
End Page Number: | 388 |
Publication Date: | Sep 1998 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | Korn Olaf, Anders Ulrich, Schmitt Christian |
Keywords: | neural networks, finance & banking |
In this paper we apply statistical inference techniques to build neural network models which are able to explain the prices of call options written on the German stock index DAX. By testing for the explanatory power of several variables serving as network inputs, some insight into the pricing process of the option market is obtained. The results indicate that statistical specification strategies lead to parsimonious networks which have a superior out-of-sample performance when compared to the Black/Scholes model. We further validate our results by providing plausible hedge parameters.