A threshold limit theorem for the stochastic logistic epidemic

A threshold limit theorem for the stochastic logistic epidemic

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Article ID: iaor2000590
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 35
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 662
End Page Number: 670
Publication Date: Sep 1998
Journal: Journal of Applied Probability
Authors: ,
Keywords: medicine
Abstract:

The time until extinction for the closed SIS stochastic logistic epidemic model is investigated. We derive the asymptotic distribution for the extinction time as the population grows to infinity, under different initial conditions and for different values of the infection rate.

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