A boundary crossing probability for the Bessel process

A boundary crossing probability for the Bessel process

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Article ID: iaor2000584
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 30
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 807
End Page Number: 830
Publication Date: Sep 1998
Journal: Advances in Applied Probability
Authors:
Abstract:

Analytic approximations are derived for the distribution of the first crossing time of a straight-line boundary by a d-dimensional Bessel process and its discrete time analogue. The main ingredient for the approximations is the conditional probability that the process crossed the boundary before time m, given its location beneath the boundary at time m. The boundary crossing probability is of interest as the significance level and power of a sequential test comparing d + 1 treatments using an O'Brien–Fleming stopping boundary (see Betensky). Also, it is shown by DeLong to be the limiting distribution of a nonparametric test statistic for multiple regression. The approximations are compared with exact values from the literature and with values from a Monte Carlo simulation.

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