Inequalities for multinomial allocations with application to DNA fingerprinting

Inequalities for multinomial allocations with application to DNA fingerprinting

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Article ID: iaor2000457
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 35
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 707
End Page Number: 717
Publication Date: Sep 1998
Journal: Journal of Applied Probability
Authors:
Abstract:

We consider an allocation of n balls into N cells according to probabilities pi. Assuming that the balls are allocated successively, denote by ϕ(n, N) the number of such balls which go into an already occupied cell. If n = 2 the probability that two balls will occupy the same cell is equal to the so-called match probability MP = p21 +...+ p2N. An upper estimate for the probability P(ϕ(n, N) ≤ m) which depends only on n and M P is derived. Such inequalities are important for estimation of the reliability of DNA fingerprinting, a new method of crime investigation which is currently much debated.

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