Range reliability in random walks

Range reliability in random walks

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Article ID: iaor19983129
Country: Germany
Volume: 45
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 325
End Page Number: 345
Publication Date: Jan 1997
Journal: Mathematical Methods of Operations Research (Heidelberg)
Authors: ,
Keywords: quality & reliability
Abstract:

This paper introduces a definition of reliability based on a process range. Thus, process failure is defined when the range of a process first reaches a given and unacceptable level. The Mean Time To Failure which is defined as the mean of the first time for a range to attain a given amplitude is then calculated for an asymmetric random walk process. The probability distribution of the range is then given and the process reliability over long periods of system operations is then calculated. Applications such as the control of wing movements, stock prices and exchange rates volatility (defined in terms of reliability) are also used to demonstrate the usefulness of range processes in reliability studies. Finally, we point out that there is necessarily a relationship between the range reliability and the propensity of a series to become chaotic.

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