Article ID: | iaor19983129 |
Country: | Germany |
Volume: | 45 |
Issue: | 3 |
Start Page Number: | 325 |
End Page Number: | 345 |
Publication Date: | Jan 1997 |
Journal: | Mathematical Methods of Operations Research (Heidelberg) |
Authors: | Tapiero Charles S., Vallios P. |
Keywords: | quality & reliability |
This paper introduces a definition of reliability based on a process range. Thus, process failure is defined when the range of a process first reaches a given and unacceptable level. The Mean Time To Failure which is defined as the mean of the first time for a range to attain a given amplitude is then calculated for an asymmetric random walk process. The probability distribution of the range is then given and the process reliability over long periods of system operations is then calculated. Applications such as the control of wing movements, stock prices and exchange rates volatility (defined in terms of reliability) are also used to demonstrate the usefulness of range processes in reliability studies. Finally, we point out that there is necessarily a relationship between the range reliability and the propensity of a series to become chaotic.