Attrition models of the Ardennes campaign

Attrition models of the Ardennes campaign

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Article ID: iaor19982777
Country: United States
Volume: 45
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 1
End Page Number: 22
Publication Date: Feb 1998
Journal: Naval Research Logistics
Authors:
Keywords: Lanchester theory and models
Abstract:

This paper revisits the modeling by Bracken of the Ardennes campaign of World War II using the Lanchester equations. It revises and extends that analysis in a number of ways: (1) it more accurately fits the model parameters using linear regression; (2) it considers the data from the entire campaign; and (3) it adds in air sortie data. In contrast to previous results, it concludes by showing that neither the Lanchester linear nor Lanchester square laws fit the data. A new form of the Lanchester equations emerges with a physical interpretation.

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