Median predictive cost of error with an asymmetric cost function

Median predictive cost of error with an asymmetric cost function

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Article ID: iaor1989790
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 40
Issue: 8
Start Page Number: 735
End Page Number: 740
Publication Date: Aug 1989
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors:
Abstract:

The problem of reducing predictive cost is considered in the case when the cost of error function is not symmetric and the optimality criterion is the minimization of the median cost of the error of prediction. Examples are given and comparisons made with the usual solution based on the minimization of the mean cost. In the case of a Gaussian process, the median solution is found to be a simple additive adjustment to the predictive mean, and far easier to compute than the solution based on expected cost.

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