Forecasting the Antwerp maritime traffic flows using transformations and intervention models

Forecasting the Antwerp maritime traffic flows using transformations and intervention models

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Article ID: iaor19971702
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 15
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 395
End Page Number: 412
Publication Date: Sep 1996
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors:
Keywords: transportation: water
Abstract:

This article uses univariate time-series models with data transformations and intervention models to forecast the volumes of twenty-two maritime traffic flows in the port of Antwerp which are expressed in tonnes. The models obtained produce forecasts that are a substantial improvement over those obtained with unadjusted data. The models also provide useful insight into the behaviour of maritime traffic flows during the period 1971-82.

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