On collective epidemic models and (partially) exchangeable events

On collective epidemic models and (partially) exchangeable events

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Article ID: iaor19961265
Country: Belgium
Volume: 36
Start Page Number: 235
End Page Number: 250
Publication Date: Jan 1994
Journal: Cahiers du Centre d'tudes de Recherche Oprationnelle
Authors: , ,
Keywords: probability
Abstract:

Recently, Picard and Lefèvre introduced a new epidemic model, called the collective epidemic process, to describe the spread of S-I-R infectious diseases. The model there was built mainly from analytical considerations. The primary motivation of the present work is to point out that its construction can be derived from a simple and general probabilistic argument. This leads us to have a further look at a classical elementary subject in probability, namely the realization of events among n (partially) exchangeable events.

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