Article ID: | iaor1996474 |
Country: | United States |
Volume: | 41 |
Issue: | 4 |
Start Page Number: | 637 |
End Page Number: | 645 |
Publication Date: | Apr 1995 |
Journal: | Management Science |
Authors: | Calabrese Joel M. |
Keywords: | control processes, markov processes |
The paper considers a process control procedure with fixed sample sizes and sampling intervals where the fraction defective is the quality variable of interest, a standard attributes control chart methodology. It shows that relatively standard cost assumptions lead to formulation of the process control problem as a partially observed Markov decision process, where the posterior probability of a process shift is a sufficient statistic for decision making. The paper characterizes features of the optimal solution and shows that the optimal policy has a simple control limit structure. Numerical results are provided which indicate that the procedure may provide significant savings over non-Bayesian techniques.