Article ID: | iaor198924 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 8 |
Issue: | 3 |
Start Page Number: | 315 |
End Page Number: | 329 |
Publication Date: | Jul 1989 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | Guerard J.B. |
Keywords: | forecasting: applications |
It has been shown in recent economic and statistical studies that composite forecasts may produce more accurate forecasts than individual ones. The purpose of this study is to develop composite forecasting models that may produce forecasts superior to the individual forecast implicit in forward exchange rates. In an efficient market one would expect to find little improvement with the composite models relative to the forward exchange rate.