Composite model building for foreign exchange rates

Composite model building for foreign exchange rates

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Article ID: iaor198924
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 8
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 315
End Page Number: 329
Publication Date: Jul 1989
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors:
Keywords: forecasting: applications
Abstract:

It has been shown in recent economic and statistical studies that composite forecasts may produce more accurate forecasts than individual ones. The purpose of this study is to develop composite forecasting models that may produce forecasts superior to the individual forecast implicit in forward exchange rates. In an efficient market one would expect to find little improvement with the composite models relative to the forward exchange rate.

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