Discretization of Stochastic Differential Equations and econometric forecasting: An application to time-varying autoregressions

Discretization of Stochastic Differential Equations and econometric forecasting: An application to time-varying autoregressions

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Article ID: iaor1995390
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 13
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 265
End Page Number: 278
Publication Date: May 1994
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors:
Keywords: economics
Abstract:

Continuous time versions of time varying Vector Autoregressions are stochastic differential equations. Optimal discretization of Stochastic Differential Equations cannot be obtained by replacing all differentials by the corresponding first differences. In this paper, the optimal discretization for time varying VARS is obtained. The results are applied to predicting the consumer price index.

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