Conflict analysis in the politico-military environment of a new world order

Conflict analysis in the politico-military environment of a new world order

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Article ID: iaor19941802
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 45
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 133
End Page Number: 142
Publication Date: Feb 1994
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors:
Keywords: decision theory: multiple criteria
Abstract:

A methodology is developed to analyse present and future crisis and conflict potentials of small or large geopolitical regions. A set of criteria is used to describe the present economic, social, political and military conditions of a country and the future criteria trends. A multi-criteria decision analysis model is invoked to compute the crisis and conflict potentials under simultaneous consideration of all other countries in that region. The methodology is demonstrated in the crisis and conflict potentials analysis of the former Soviet republics including bordering countries.

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