| Article ID: | iaor19932475 |
| Country: | Netherlands |
| Volume: | 8 |
| Issue: | 4 |
| Start Page Number: | 575 |
| End Page Number: | 582 |
| Publication Date: | Dec 1992 |
| Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
| Authors: | Armstrong J. Scott, Collopy Fred |
The authors report on the opinions of 49 forecasting experts on guidelines for extrapolation methods. The agreed that seasonality, trend, aggregation, and discontinuities were key features to use for selecting extrapolation methods. The strong agreement about the importance of discontinuities was surprising because this topic has been largely ignored in the forecasting literature.