Keyword: forecasting: applications

Found 1283 papers in total
Forecasting consumption, income and real interest rates from alternative state space models
Forecasting consumption, income and real interest rates from alternative state space models
1995,
The well-known difficulties in forecasting real interest rates are addressed by a...
The expectations theory of interest rates: Cointegration and factor decomposition
The expectations theory of interest rates: Cointegration and factor decomposition
1995,
This paper empirically re-examines the expectations theory of the term structure by...
Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices
Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices
1995,
This paper reports the results of an experiment in stock-price forecasting that...
The measurement of price elasticities-The BT experience
The measurement of price elasticities-The BT experience
1995,
The telephony market in the UK has been subject to substantial structural change over...
Forecasting the federal budget with time-series analysis
Forecasting the federal budget with time-series analysis
1995,
This paper demonstrates a simple, yet interesting application of a multivariate...
An analysis of the international tourism demand in Spain
An analysis of the international tourism demand in Spain
1995,
In this paper the external demand for Spanish tourist services is analysed within the...
Another look at auditing by the state governments
Another look at auditing by the state governments
1995,
Agency theory suggests that incentives to monitor elected officials depend in part on...
Prediction and control for a time-series count data model
Prediction and control for a time-series count data model
1995,
Time series of count data are becoming more widely available. In a recently suggested...
Model selection criteria: An investigation of relative accuracy, posterior probabilities, and combinations of criteria
Model selection criteria: An investigation of relative accuracy, posterior probabilities, and combinations of criteria
1995,
The authors investigate the performance of empirical criteria for comparing and...
Holt-Winters method with missing observations
Holt-Winters method with missing observations
1995,
The paper presents a simple procedure for interpolating, smoothing, and predicting in...
Modeling strategic investment decisions under sequential technological change
Modeling strategic investment decisions under sequential technological change
1995,
Strategic decisions to invest in new equipment are critical not only because of the...
A dynamic forecasting model for job shop flowtime prediction and tardiness control
A dynamic forecasting model for job shop flowtime prediction and tardiness control
1995,
This paper presents a forecasting approach to flowtime prediction in a job shop. The...
SEARCH (Scenario evaluation and analysis through repeated cross impact handling): A new method for scenario analysis with an application to the Videotel service in Italy
SEARCH (Scenario evaluation and analysis through repeated cross impact handling): A new method for scenario analysis with an application to the Videotel service in Italy
1995,
After an exhaustive survey of the use (and abuse) of the term ‘scenario’...
A short-term forecasting model of the Czecho-Slovak economy for the transition period
A short-term forecasting model of the Czecho-Slovak economy for the transition period
1992,
An experimental version of a new short-term econometric model of the CSFR economy is...
A Bayesian technique for refining the uncertainty in global energy model forecasts
A Bayesian technique for refining the uncertainty in global energy model forecasts
1995,
Global energy models have a large degree of uncertainty associated with them. This...
Probabilistic forecasts from probabilistic models: A case study in the oil market
Probabilistic forecasts from probabilistic models: A case study in the oil market
1995,
Probabilistic forecasts, probabilistic models, and contingent policy recommendations...
Uncertain reasoning and forecasting
Uncertain reasoning and forecasting
1995,
The authors develop a probability forecasting model through a synthesis of Bayesian...
Road closure to mitigate avalanche danger: A case study for Little Cottonwood Canyon
Road closure to mitigate avalanche danger: A case study for Little Cottonwood Canyon
1995,
Avalanche forecasters make decisions to close the Little Cottonwood Canyon Highway to...
Long time-horizons for air traffic flow planning in Europe
Long time-horizons for air traffic flow planning in Europe
1995,
In an earlier paper, the writer attempted a quantitative study of a flow-planning...
The rationality of the OECD foreign-balance forecasts for the U.S.A
The rationality of the OECD foreign-balance forecasts for the U.S.A
1994,
A recent study has documented that the OECD forecasts of the U.S.A. foreign balance...
Using economic indicators to reduce risk in stock market investments
Using economic indicators to reduce risk in stock market investments
1994,
This paper shows how the risk of price declines in stock market investments can be...
Recursive estimation as an aid to exploratory data analysis: An application to market share models
Recursive estimation as an aid to exploratory data analysis: An application to market share models
1994,
Recursive estimation methods are often adopted in order to allow for parameter changes...
Late forecasts and early revisions of United States GNP
Late forecasts and early revisions of United States GNP
1994,
The authors consider a sequence of four-monthly predictions and estimates of quarterly...
Machine performance monitoring and fault classification using an exponentially weighted moving average scheme
Machine performance monitoring and fault classification using an exponentially weighted moving average scheme
1995,
Performance monitoring is crucial in maintaining normal machine operating conditions...
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