Article ID: | iaor20174373 |
Volume: | 18 |
Issue: | 3 |
Start Page Number: | 241 |
End Page Number: | 251 |
Publication Date: | Sep 2017 |
Journal: | Information Technology and Management |
Authors: | Hill Alessandro, Bse Jrgen W |
Keywords: | vehicle routing & scheduling, decision, allocation: resources, planning, forecasting: applications, simulation, economics, artificial intelligence, distribution, neural networks |
In this paper, we present an innovative decision support system that simultaneously provides predictive analytics to logistic nodes as well as to collaborating truck companies. Logistic nodes, such as container terminals, container depots or container loading facilities, face heavy workloads through a large number of truck arrivals during peak times. At the same time, truck companies suffer from augmented waiting times. The proposed system provides forecasted truck arrival rates to the nodes and predicted truck gate waiting times at the nodes to the truck companies based on historical data, economic and environmental impact factors. Based on the expected workloads, the node personnel and machinery can be planned more efficiently. Truck companies can adjust their route planning in order to minimize waiting times. Consequently, both sides benefit from reduced truck waiting times while reducing traffic congestion and air pollution. We suggest a flexible cloud based service that incorporates an advanced forecasting engine based on artificial intelligence capable of providing individual predictions for users on all planning levels. In a case study we report forecasting results obtained for the truck waiting times at an empty container depot using artificial neural networks.