| Article ID: | iaor20173349 |
| Volume: | 25 |
| Issue: | 3 |
| Start Page Number: | 611 |
| End Page Number: | 625 |
| Publication Date: | Sep 2017 |
| Journal: | Central European Journal of Operations Research |
| Authors: | Bohanec Marko, Trdin Nejc, Kontic Branko |
| Keywords: | simulation, decision theory: multiple criteria |
A methodological approach to the strategic evaluation of electric energy production technologies in Slovenia is presented. The aim of this work is to make a transparent and reproducible identification of reliable, rational, and environmentally sound production of electric energy in Slovenia by 2050. The approach is based on a qualitative multi‐criteria modelling method DEX and consists of three stages: (1) assessment of individual technologies for electricity production, (2) assessment of mixtures of technologies and (3) evaluation of scenarios of shutting‐down existing old power plants and constructing the new ones until 2050. Technology alternatives include both conventional and renewable energy sources: coal fired, gas fired, biomass fired, oil fired, nuclear, hydro, wind, and photovoltaic. The results indicate that only mixtures of nuclear, hydro, and gas fired technologies can meet expected energy needs in a sufficiently reliable and rational way.