Bayes-conditional Control Charts for Weibull Quantiles under Type II Censoring

In this paper, we develop a Bayesian approach for monitoring Weibull quantiles under Type II censoring when prior information is negligible relative to the data. The posterior median of quantiles is considered as the monitored statistic. A method based on the relationship between Bayesian and conditional limits under an appropriate prior distribution is proposed to obtain the posterior median of quantiles in closed form. A pivotal quantity based on the monitored statistic is proposed, and its distribution is conditionally derived. Then, the Bayes‐conditional control limits are proposed. For the proposed charts, the probability of out‐of‐control can be derived without use of simulation. The performance of the Bayes‐conditional charts is compared with the bootstrap charts through the simulation methods. The results show that to monitor the first quantiles, the lower‐sided Bayes‐conditional charts perform better than bootstrap charts in detecting a downward shift caused by decreasing in the shape parameter. Finally, an illustrative example is provided.