Insurance Ratemaking and a Gini Index

Insurance Ratemaking and a Gini Index

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Article ID: iaor201522193
Volume: 81
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 335
End Page Number: 366
Publication Date: Jun 2014
Journal: Journal of Risk and Insurance
Authors: , ,
Keywords: economics
Abstract:

Welfare economics uses Lorenz curves to display skewed income distributions and Gini indices to summarize the skewness. This article extends the Lorenz curve and Gini index by ordering insurance risks; the ordering variable is a risk‐based score relative to price, known as a relativity. The new relativity‐based measures can cope with adverse selection and quantify potential profit. Specifically, we show that the Gini index is proportional to a correlation between the relativity and an out‐of‐sample profit (price in excess of loss). A detailed example using homeowners insurance demonstrates the utility of these new measures.

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