Article ID: | iaor20162747 |
Volume: | 12 |
Issue: | 3 |
Start Page Number: | 209 |
End Page Number: | 219 |
Publication Date: | Jun 2016 |
Journal: | International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy |
Authors: | Voyant Cyril, Notton Gilles, Paoli Christophe, Nivet MarieLaure, Muselli Marc, Dahmani Kahina |
Keywords: | forecasting: applications, energy, stochastic processes, simulation |
Numerous methods exist and were developed for global radiation forecasting. The two most popular types are the numerical weather predictions (NWPs) and the predictions using stochastic approaches. We propose to compute a parameter noted χ constructed in part from the mutual information which is a quantity that measures the mutual dependence of two variables. Both of these are calculated with the objective to establish the more relevant method between NWP and stochastic models concerning the current problem.