Article ID: | iaor20125098 |
Volume: | 49 |
Issue: | 21 |
Start Page Number: | 430 |
End Page Number: | 441 |
Publication Date: | Oct 2012 |
Journal: | Energy Policy |
Authors: | Szklo Alexandre, Schaeffer Roberto, Borba Bruno S M C, Lucena Andr F P, Rathmann Rgis, Costa Isabella V L, Nogueira Larissa P P, Rochedo Pedro R R, Castelo Branco David A, Jnior Mauricio F H |
Keywords: | geography & environment, simulation |
This paper estimates the potential for energy‐related greenhouse gas emission (GHG) reductions in Brazil, their abatement costs and proposes a number of policies to achieve these reductions. The Brazilian energy system is very peculiar as renewable energy accounts for some 45% of total primary energy and 85% of electricity production. The following sectors are covered in this paper: industry, transports and petroleum sector. Compared to a business‐as‐usual reference scenario, results show a potential to reduce future energy‐related GHG emissions by 27% in 2030. However, in spite of that, the mitigation potential identified here is not large enough, in absolute terms, to reduce energy‐related GHG emissions below the current level in Brazil by 2030.