Article ID: | iaor19881046 |
Country: | United States |
Volume: | 35 |
Issue: | 2/3 |
Start Page Number: | 167 |
End Page Number: | 177 |
Publication Date: | Apr 1989 |
Journal: | Technological Forecasting & Social Change |
Authors: | Saito Mitsuo, Nakamura Shinichiro |
Keywords: | manufacturing industries, cybernetics |
The introduction of robots leads to a reduction of direct labor, whereas it stimulates the investment activity of firms and thereby brings about a rise in indirect employment. This paper attempts to evaluate relative magnitudes of both effects of robotization on employment. The method of analysis depends on the application of an econometric model. The results of the survey at the individual firm level are also utilized. The forecast for the current five years (1985-1990) is that robotization will result in a net effect of a 23 thousand person decrease in employment.