Expectations, interest rates, and commercial bank stocks

Expectations, interest rates, and commercial bank stocks

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Article ID: iaor201522794
Volume: 8
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 51
End Page Number: 58
Publication Date: Mar 1985
Journal: Journal of Financial Research
Authors: ,
Keywords: finance & banking
Abstract:

This study examines the effect of current and expected interest rate changes on bank equity values and attempts to reconcile the conflicting findings of previous research regarding this issue. A multiple index market model of bank security returns is specified and estimated. The results confirm the existence of an interest rate effect on bank stocks that is not explained by returns on the market portfolio. In addition, bank stock returns appear to be sensitive to an interest rate forecast error.

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