Sustainability screw: role of relative production and abatement time scales

Sustainability screw: role of relative production and abatement time scales

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Article ID: iaor201526793
Volume: 66
Issue: 8
Start Page Number: 1259
End Page Number: 1269
Publication Date: Aug 2015
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors: , ,
Keywords: geography & environment, ecology
Abstract:

We postulate that reasonable notions of sustainability must include a time‐scale synchronization of both the processes of human development and those of the natural environment. We perform our analysis within a simple system of five differential equations where non‐renewable and renewable resources are coupled with production capacities, abatement and human capital as functions of time. A ‘sustainability screw’ phenomenon is demonstrated describing a spiral like trajectory of three key variables–the non‐renewable resources, the renewable resources and the production capital. This spiral may tend to an undesirable steady state, however, by adjusting a ratio of intensity parameters, time scales of production and natural recovery processes can be altered to produce more sustainable trajectories.

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