Article ID: | iaor201526793 |
Volume: | 66 |
Issue: | 8 |
Start Page Number: | 1259 |
End Page Number: | 1269 |
Publication Date: | Aug 2015 |
Journal: | Journal of the Operational Research Society |
Authors: | Filar Jerzy A, Krawczyk Jacek B, Agrawal Manju R |
Keywords: | geography & environment, ecology |
We postulate that reasonable notions of sustainability must include a time‐scale synchronization of both the processes of human development and those of the natural environment. We perform our analysis within a simple system of five differential equations where non‐renewable and renewable resources are coupled with production capacities, abatement and human capital as functions of time. A ‘sustainability screw’ phenomenon is demonstrated describing a spiral like trajectory of three key variables–the non‐renewable resources, the renewable resources and the production capital. This spiral may tend to an undesirable steady state, however, by adjusting a ratio of intensity parameters, time scales of production and natural recovery processes can be altered to produce more sustainable trajectories.