Article ID: | iaor201522544 |
Volume: | 31 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 121 |
End Page Number: | 135 |
Publication Date: | May 2014 |
Journal: | Expert Systems |
Authors: | Mago Vijay K, Frank Richard, Reid Andrew, Dabbaghian Vahid |
Keywords: | Canada, fuzzy logic, crime analysis |
Crime attractors are locations (e.g. shopping malls) that attract criminally motivated offenders because of the presence of known criminal opportunities. Although there have been many studies that explore the patterns of crime in and around these locations, there are still many questions that linger. In recent years, there has been a growing interest to develop mathematical models in attempts to help answer questions about various criminological phenomena. In this paper, we are interested in applying a formal methodology to model the relative attractiveness of crime attractor locations based on characteristics of offenders and the crime they committed. To accomplish this task, we adopt fuzzy logic techniques to calculate the attractiveness of crime attractors in three suburban cities in the Metro Vancouver region of British Columbia, Canada. The fuzzy logic techniques provide results comparable with our real‐life expectations that offenders do not necessarily commit significant crimes in the immediate neighbourhood of the attractors, but travel towards it, and commit crimes on the way. The results of this study could lead to a variety of crime prevention benefits and urban planning strategies.