| Article ID: | iaor20117757 |
| Volume: | 39 |
| Issue: | 9 |
| Start Page Number: | 5219 |
| End Page Number: | 5227 |
| Publication Date: | Sep 2011 |
| Journal: | Energy Policy |
| Authors: | Audenaert A, Briffaerts K, Engels L |
| Keywords: | demand, time series: forecasting methods |
Methods to calculate the theoretical energy consumption consider several things: the number of degree days per year that need to be compensated by heating, the characteristics of the dwelling, the number of occupants and the characteristics of the installation for space heating and sanitary hot water. However, these methods do not take into account consumer behaviour, which may affect the actual consumption. The theoretical calculation methods are based on assumptions and use a number of standardized parameters. The difference between the actual and the theoretical energy consumption, and the impact of the residents' behaviour on energy consumption, is analysed by means of a literature study and a practical research. An energy advice procedure (EAP) audit is executed in five dwellings, as well as a survey regarding the energy related behaviour of the households. The theoretically calculated consumption is compared with the billed actual energy consumption of the families. The results show some problems with the current procedure and give some options to improve it. Some research needs are identified to gain more insights in the influence of different behavioural factors on the actual energy use for heating.