From carbonization to decarbonization?–Past trends and future scenarios for China's CO2 emissions

From carbonization to decarbonization?–Past trends and future scenarios for China's CO2 emissions

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Article ID: iaor20115388
Volume: 39
Issue: 6
Start Page Number: 3443
End Page Number: 3455
Publication Date: Jun 2011
Journal: Energy Policy
Authors: , , ,
Keywords: geography & environment, energy
Abstract:

  • An extended Kaya‐decomposition is applied to historical data and ReMIND‐R scenario results for China.
  • Reversing a historic trend, energy intensity has increased in recent years.
  • The contribution of coal in increasing carbon intensity and emissions has been constant in the past.
  • Decarbonization becomes increasingly important with increasingly ambitious climate targets.
  • Chinese targets for carbon intensity of GDP are in line with a 450ppm CO2‐only stabilization scenario.

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