Modelling and forecasting Turkish residential electricity demand

Modelling and forecasting Turkish residential electricity demand

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Article ID: iaor20115351
Volume: 39
Issue: 6
Start Page Number: 3117
End Page Number: 3127
Publication Date: Jun 2011
Journal: Energy Policy
Authors: ,
Keywords: forecasting: applications, simulation, economics, demand
Abstract:

  • Estimated short run and long run expenditure elasticities of 0.38 and 1.57, respectively.
  • Estimated short run and long run price elasticities of ‐0.09 and ‐0.38, respectively.
  • Estimated UEDT has increasing (i.e. energy using) and decreasing (i.e. energy saving) periods.
  • Predicted Turkish residential electricity demand between 48 and 80TWh in 2020.
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