Optimal condition-based maintenance decisions for systems with dependent stochastic degradation of components

Optimal condition-based maintenance decisions for systems with dependent stochastic degradation of components

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Article ID: iaor20141395
Volume: 121
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 276
End Page Number: 288
Publication Date: Jan 2014
Journal: Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Authors: , , ,
Keywords: stochastic processes, optimization
Abstract:

Components in engineered systems are subjected to stochastic deterioration due to the operating environmental conditions, and the uncertainty in material properties. The components need to be inspected and possibly replaced based on preventive or failure replacement criteria to provide the intended and safe operation of the system. In the present study, we investigate the influence of dependent stochastic degradation of multiple components on the optimal maintenance decisions. We use copula to model the dependent stochastic degradation of components, and formulate the optimal decision problem based on the minimum expected cost rule and the stochastic dominance rules. The latter is used to cope with decision maker's risk attitude. We illustrate the developed probabilistic analysis approach and the influence of the dependency of the stochastic degradation on the preferred decisions through numerical examples.

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