Optimal decision under ambiguity for diffusion processes

Optimal decision under ambiguity for diffusion processes

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Article ID: iaor20133823
Volume: 77
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 207
End Page Number: 226
Publication Date: Apr 2013
Journal: Mathematical Methods of Operations Research
Authors:
Keywords: game theory
Abstract:

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift ambiguity for one‐dimensional diffusion processes. Analogously to the case of ordinary optimal stopping problems for one‐dimensional Brownian motions we reduce the problem to the geometric problem of finding the smallest majorant of the reward function in a two‐parameter function space. In a second part we solve optimal stopping problems when the underlying process may crash down. These problems are reduced to one optimal stopping problem and one Dynkin game. Examples are discussed.

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