Modeling renewable energy company risk

Modeling renewable energy company risk

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Article ID: iaor201111749
Volume: 40
Issue: 12
Start Page Number: 39
End Page Number: 48
Publication Date: Jan 2012
Journal: Energy Policy
Authors:
Keywords: finance & banking, simulation
Abstract:

The renewable energy sector is one of the fastest growing components of the energy industry and along with this increased demand for renewable energy there has been an increase in investing and financing activities. The tradeoff between risk and return in the renewable energy sector is, however, precarious. Renewable energy companies are often among the riskiest types of companies to invest in and for this reason it is necessary to have a good understanding of the risk factors. This paper uses a variable beta model to investigate the determinants of renewable energy company risk. The empirical results show that company sales growth has a negative impact on company risk while oil price increases have a positive impact on company risk. When oil price returns are positive and moderate, increases in sales growth can offset the impact of oil price returns and this leads to lower systematic risk.

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