Article ID: | iaor20124428 |
Volume: | 106 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 11 |
End Page Number: | 27 |
Publication Date: | Oct 2012 |
Journal: | Reliability Engineering and System Safety |
Authors: | Gao Zhen, Dong Wenbin, Moan Torgeir |
Keywords: | wind power |
Due to the high level of fatigue loads as well as a large number of load cycles caused by wind and wave loads together, fatigue performance of welded connections is a design driving criterion for offshore wind turbine support structures. In this paper prediction of fatigue reliability of welded multi‐planar tubular joints of the support structure of a fixed jacket offshore wind turbine designed for a northern North Sea site in a water depth of 70m is performed. Dynamic response of the jacket support structure due to wind and wave loads is calculated by using a decoupled procedure with good accuracy. Hot‐spot stresses at failure‐critical location of the relative reference brace of the selected tubular joint are derived by summation of the single stress components from axial, in‐plane and out‐of‐plane action, the effects of planar and non‐planar braces are also considered. A two‐parameter Weibull function is used to fit the long‐term statistical distribution of hot‐spot stress ranges by combination of time domain simulation for representative environmental conditions (wind/sea states) in operational condition. The main uncertainties associated with the whole procedure of reliability analysis are identified and quantified. The load histories are normalized to ensure that fatigue design criteria based on the SN‐Miner‐Palmgren approach is satisfied. Hence the reliability estimates obtained refer to fatigue design of tubular joints that satisfy design criteria. The reliability analysis is based on fracture mechanics (FM) analysis of crack growth. The corrosion‐induced increased crack growth rate is taken into account by considering the increased hot‐spot stress range due to changes of nominal stress and stress concentration factors (SCFs) produced by the thickness thinning (wastage) effects of all braces and chord of the selected tubular joint with a general uniform corrosion model. The geometry function effect and the material degradation effect due to corrosion on the reliability analysis are also investigated. The effects of inspection and repair with and without consideration of corrosion are quantified based on the quality of inspection in terms of probability of crack detection curves. The sensitivity of the reliability index on important random variables is estimated.