Investment models based on clustered scenario trees

Investment models based on clustered scenario trees

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Article ID: iaor20131649
Volume: 227
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 314
End Page Number: 324
Publication Date: Jun 2013
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research
Authors:
Keywords: programming: probabilistic
Abstract:

Stochastic programming is widely applied in financial decision problems. In particular, when we need to carry out the actual calculations for portfolio selection problems, we have to assign a value for each expected return and the associated conditional probability in advance. These estimated random parameters often rely on a scenario tree representing the distribution of the underlying asset returns. One of the drawbacks is that the estimated parameters may be deviated from the actual ones. Therefore, robustness is considered so as to cope with the issue of parameter inaccuracy. In view of this, we propose a clustered scenario‐tree approach, which accommodates the parameter inaccuracy problem in the context of a scenario tree.

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