When is it feasible to model low discrete demand by a normal distribution?

When is it feasible to model low discrete demand by a normal distribution?

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Article ID: iaor2013291
Volume: 35
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 153
End Page Number: 162
Publication Date: Jan 2013
Journal: OR Spectrum
Authors:
Keywords: simulation, statistics: distributions
Abstract:

Inventory control systems used in practice are quite often modeling the lead‐time demand by a normal distribution. This may result in considerable errors when the real demand is low and discrete. For such demand, it is usually better to use a discrete demand distribution. However, this will increase the computational effort. A natural question is under what circumstances a normal approximation is feasible. This paper analyzes this question in a numerical study. Our study indicates that a normal approximation works reasonably well when the average lead‐time demand is something like 10 or higher and the coefficient of variation is bounded by something like 2. The normal approximation works better for a high backorder cost or, equivalently, a high service level.

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