A heuristic method for parameter selection in LS‐SVM: Application to time series prediction

A heuristic method for parameter selection in LS‐SVM: Application to time series prediction

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Article ID: iaor20115783
Volume: 27
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 725
End Page Number: 739
Publication Date: Jul 2011
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors: , , ,
Keywords: time series: forecasting methods
Abstract:

Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS‐SVM) are the state of the art in kernel methods for regression. These models have been successfully applied for time series modelling and prediction. A critical issue for the performance of these models is the choice of the kernel parameters and the hyperparameters which define the function to be minimized. In this paper a heuristic method for setting both the s equ1 parameter of the Gaussian kernel and the regularization hyperparameter based on information extracted from the time series to be modelled is presented and evaluated.

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