Simulation optimization of PSA‐threshold based prostate cancer screening policies

Simulation optimization of PSA‐threshold based prostate cancer screening policies

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Article ID: iaor20126108
Volume: 15
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 293
End Page Number: 309
Publication Date: Dec 2012
Journal: Health Care Management Science
Authors: , , , ,
Keywords: optimization, simulation: applications, heuristics: genetic algorithms, stochastic processes
Abstract:

We describe a simulation optimization method to design PSA screening policies based on expected quality adjusted life years (QALYs). Our method integrates a simulation model in a genetic algorithm which uses a probabilistic method for selection of the best policy. We present computational results about the efficiency of our algorithm. The best policy generated by our algorithm is compared to previously recommended screening policies. Using the policies determined by our model, we present evidence that patients should be screened more aggressively but for a shorter length of time than previously published guidelines recommend.

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