Article ID: | iaor19921633 |
Country: | Netherlands |
Volume: | 6 |
Start Page Number: | 89 |
End Page Number: | 102 |
Publication Date: | Jan 1990 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | Mahmoud Essam, Rice Gillian |
Keywords: | social |
Improving the practice of political risk forecasting is of interest to managers of international firms. This paper deals with three important questions surrounding political risk forecasting: what to forecast, how to forecast, and how to implement a forecast. The authors present some results of a survey of Canadian firms’ political risk forecasting practices. The results generally support propositions and earlier findings reported in the literature. Comparing the results to those of American, French and Japanese studies suggests that there is a cross-national difference in information sources used for political risk forecasting.