Article ID: | iaor20118545 |
Volume: | 41 |
Issue: | 4 |
Start Page Number: | 338 |
End Page Number: | 353 |
Publication Date: | Jul 2011 |
Journal: | Interfaces |
Authors: | Parnell Gregory S, Geis John P, Newton Harry, Bresnick Terry |
The purpose of the Blue Horizons study was to determine the capabilities and technologies in which the United States Air Force would need to invest to maintain dominant air, space, and cyberspace capabilities in the year 2030. The study used two methodologies, scenario analysis and multiobjective decision analysis, to evaluate 58 future‐system concepts and 172 key enabling technologies. The paper outlines the study's key conclusions and recommendations to the Air Force, including recommendations on how future concepts and technologies would help it to prepare for disparate potential challenges, such as rising peer competitors, the problem of failed states, and continued insurgencies in far‐flung parts of the world.