Multicriteria evidential reasoning decision modelling and analysis–prioritizing voices of customer

Multicriteria evidential reasoning decision modelling and analysis–prioritizing voices of customer

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Article ID: iaor20117874
Volume: 62
Issue: 9
Start Page Number: 1638
End Page Number: 1654
Publication Date: Sep 2011
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors: , , ,
Keywords: artificial intelligence: decision support
Abstract:

In this paper, a new methodology is investigated to support the prioritization of the voices of customers through various customer satisfaction surveys. This new methodology consists of two key components: an innovative evidence‐driven decision modelling framework for representing and transforming large amounts of data sets and a generic reasoning‐based decision support process for aggregating evidence to prioritize the voices of customer on the basis of the Evidential Reasoning (ER) approach. Methods and frameworks for data collection and representation via multiple customer satisfaction surveys were examined first and the distinctive features of quantitative and qualitative survey data are analysed. Several novel yet natural and pragmatic rule‐based functions are then proposed to transform survey data systematically and consistently from different measurement scales to a common scale, with the original features and profiles of the data preserved in the transformation process. These new transformation functions are proposed to mimic expert judgement processes and designed to be sufficiently flexible and rigorous so that expert judgements and domain specific knowledge can be taken into account naturally, systematically and consistently in the transformation process. The ER approach is used for synthesizing quantitative and qualitative data under uncertainty that can be caused due to missing data and ambiguous survey questions. A new generic method is also proposed for ranking the voices of customer based on qualitative measurement scales without having to quantify assessment grades to fixed numerical values. A case study is examined using an Intelligent Decision System (IDS) to illustrate the application of the decision modelling framework and decision support process for prioritizing the voices of customer for a world‐leading car manufacturer.

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