Article ID: | iaor20114855 |
Volume: | 62 |
Issue: | 7 |
Start Page Number: | 1391 |
End Page Number: | 1402 |
Publication Date: | Jul 2011 |
Journal: | Journal of the Operational Research Society |
Authors: | van der Lei T E, Enserink B, Thissen W A H, Bekebrede G |
Keywords: | influence diagrams, problem structuring, public policy, scenario analysis and planning |
Many policy problems are complex in the sense that natural, technological, social and human elements interact. Problem exploration and structuring are essential as a basis for deliberate and focused approaches towards problem resolution. The results of problem exploration efforts can be laid down in the form of a policy issue paper. We have developed a systemic, stepwise approach, which has been elaborated and taught for over a decade to hundreds of students. This seven‐step approach centers on the construction of a system diagram as a means to provide structure to the conceptualisation of a complex problem situation. The approach is based on a conscious combination of existing relatively straightforward analytical methods including objectives hierarchy, means‐ends analysis, causal diagramming, stakeholder analysis, and contextual scenarios. The obtained insights are then summed up in a policy issue paper, which is the basis for further planning and research.