A new approach to the prediction of passenger flow in a transit system

A new approach to the prediction of passenger flow in a transit system

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Article ID: iaor20114323
Volume: 61
Issue: 8
Start Page Number: 1968
End Page Number: 1974
Publication Date: Apr 2011
Journal: Computers and Mathematics with Applications
Authors: , , ,
Keywords: traffic flow, wavelets
Abstract:

A non‐linear model is proposed for predicting the rate of passenger flow in a transit system, and its chaotic characteristic is observed. Using wavelets analysis, the passenger flow data for a whole day are decomposed in a multi‐scale way to obtain decomposition sequences. Subsequently, a neural network approach is used to predict the sequences. Finally the passenger flow value can be predicted when the predicted sequences are reconstructed. Results show that the present approach is a feasible method for passenger flow prediction.

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