Rational destabilizing speculation, positive feedback trading, and the oil bubble of 2008

Rational destabilizing speculation, positive feedback trading, and the oil bubble of 2008

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Article ID: iaor20113566
Volume: 39
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 2051
End Page Number: 2061
Publication Date: Apr 2011
Journal: Energy Policy
Authors:
Keywords: economics, petroleum
Abstract:

This article finds that commercial hedgers at least contributed to the 2008 oil bubble. Commercial hedgers were aggressively offsetting their short hedges leading to the oil bubble peak. Commercial hedgers, thus, unwillingly engaged in positive feedback trading. Institutional investors potentially destabilized the oil markets in 2008.

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